Thursday, December 1, 2011

Presidential Elections 2012 -#3457 - Reagan's 1980 Landslide was a Shock at the Time - Rush Limbaugh (2) VIDEO: Sean Hannity: A Candid Conversation with Newt Gingrich - Fox (3) Florida: Gingrich 47, Romney 17, Cain 15, Paul 5 - Hot Air

This was a interesting telephone call to Rush on Wednesday, and a fascinating lesson in the history of the Reagan-Carter election, I learned a lot, which could be quite encouraging for 2012.


CALLER: Hi, Rush. I need your help today. I was thinking about 1980. I remember Jimmy Carter very well, and I remember that the whole country could hardly wait 'til he was voted out, and I knew he was gonna lose by a landslide, and he did. Now, I was hoping that the same thing applied to Obama. I'm hoping that the whole country wants him out, that it is a Jimmy Carter-like situation. Lately I've been feeling a little more hesitant about that because even conservatives that I know in New York, they're saying, "Well, Obama has all the money for the commercials, and Gingrich is not very exciting; and Romney, he's like a nervous car salesman." I think they're good statesmen and I think they can make their points very well, but somehow I just have the feeling that there's a slight chance that Obama could slide by and win.........RUSH: You were among a precious few who thought so. Back in 1980, the biggest shock I can ever remember the media experiencing up until 1994 was the size of Jimmy Carter's defeat. The polling data did not reflect a Reagan landslide. It was so massive that Carter conceded before California had closed its polls.CALLER: Really? RUSH: That's how bad it was. No poll indicated it, and even going into the 1980 election -- I'm glad you brought this up -- Ronald Reagan, when we look back now and we see as close to perfection as we can ever imagine, and we remember all of this enthusiasm, but it wasn't there. Reagan was not a sure bet. The Republican establishment was not enamored of Reagan. They didn't like Reagan winning. They wanted George Bush back in 1980.  Read more........




Sean Hannity: A Candid Conversation with Newt Gingrich, Part 1, Part 2.........

Florida: Gingrich 47, Romney 17, Cain 15, Paul 5 - Hot Air - I know what you’re thinking: “Didn’t Jazz already blog the new giant-lead-for-Gingrich-in-Florida poll?” Actually, no — that was a different poll, conducted by Insider Advantage. This new one comes from PPP. We’ve now got two separate surveys showing Newt Gingrich — Newt Gingrich — above 40 percent in a key battleground state with Romney 20+ points behind.  Come on now. We’re not really going to do this, are we?  In addition to his support for the nomination, Romney’s personal popularity is down too. His Florida favorability was +43 (65/22) and it’s declined 28 points to +15 (51/36). He’s dropped in Montana too although it’s a more modest change there from +11 (47/36) to only +5 (44/39)…  The magnitude of Gingrich’s leads now is an indication that he’s appealing to every segment of the Republican electorate. He’s up with the Tea Party in both states (53% to 24% for Cain and 7% for Romney in Florida, 42% to 18% for Bachmann, 13% for Cain, 10% for Paul, and 5% for Romney in Montana.) But he’s winning over party moderates as well (33% to 22% for Romney in Florida, 31% to 17% for Romney in Montana.) Gingrich’s favorability in Florida is 72/21 and in Montana it’s 65/23. You don’t attain those kinds of numbers without having a lot of appeal to every faction in the party…  Read more........

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