Monday, November 8, 2010

Virginia 5th District Race - #2375- Virginia State Board of Elections - November 2, 2010

Commentary and tables contributed by Steve Peters.  Here is the site for looking at the 2010 and past elections. I think the 5th District did have the highest turnout of anywhere in Virginia in 2010 (55.37% of active voters) and Albemarle County had the highest turnout of any county in the District (65%) . The overall vote in the 5th District in 2010 was, +26% more than 2009 (Governor), -27.5% less than in 2008 (presidential year-Obama), +10% from 2006, and -15% less than 2004 (presidential year).
Here are my thoughts on the numbers.The Albemarle County vote was 21% less than in the 2008 presidential election, but higher than the overall 5th District numbers. Breaking down these numbers help to explain why Robert won. Tom's Albemarle County vote was down 8,953 (-30%) from 2008 to 2010, but the total Albemarle conservative vote was only down by 1,400 (-9.85%). This represented the best relative turnout number in relation to the 2008 election for any county in the 5th District by about a factor of two.  Link to Virginia State Board of Elections web site for further information........ 

Tom's City of Charlottesville vote was down 4,873 (-31%) and the conservative vote was down 1,071 (-28%), but the city vote comprised a much large block of votes for Tom ( Tom took 80% of city vote of 13,698). Tom lost because he could not get the liberal Obama base voter (Blacks and students) out in Albemarle County or the City of Charlottesville. Some interesting numbers can be found in the Central Absentee Precinct. Tom ended up at only 35.5% (-2,923) of the 2008b vote, whereas conservatives ended up with 52% (-1079).


Kudo's to Greene County (-16) and Fluvanna County (-19) for the two next best efforts at holding up their vote count from the 2008 election. Most of the total 5th District proportional vote difference between Robert and Tom in 2010 can be found mainly in these two areas. The conservative vote dropped, but remained at a higher percent of it's 2008 election vote than the liberals. Everyone did a great job in helping to get our conservative voters to the polls. Be very proud of all your efforts, and bask in the victory, as we all should.
RACECANDIDATEVOTEVOTE%STATISTICSDETAILS
Member House of Representatives
(05)

Last Reported: Nov 5 2010 11:48AM EST

Robert Hurt
119,48350.76%Precincts Reporting:
    309 of 309 (100%)

Voter Turnout:
    235,360 of 425,053 active voters (55.37%)
    235,360 of 446,641 total voters (52.69%)
Votes by County/City

See History of Changes

Tom S. P. Perriello
110,71347.03%

Jeffrey A. Clark
4,9892.11%

Write In
1750.07%






COUNTY/CITYCANDIDATEVOTEVOTE%STATISTICS
ALBEMARLE COUNTY
Last Reported: Nov 5 2010 12:47PM EST

Robert Hurt
16,59441.52%Precincts Reporting:
    29 of 29 (100%)

Voter Turnout:
    39,964 of 61,407 active voters (65.08%)
    39,964 of 69,204 total voters (57.74%)

Tom S. P. Perriello
22,87457.23%

Jeffrey A. Clark
4731.18%

Write In












RACECANDIDATEVOTEVOTE%STATISTICSDETAILS
Member House of Representatives
(05)

Tom S. P. Perriello
158,81050.08%Precincts Reporting:
    307 of 307 (100%)
Votes by County/City

See History of Changes

Virgil H. Goode, Jr.
158,08349.85%

Write In






COUNTY/CITYCANDIDATEVOTEVOTE%STATISTICS
ALBEMARLE COUNTY
Tom S. P. Perriello
31,82763.30%Precincts Reporting:
    29 of 29 (100%)

Virgil H. Goode, Jr.
18,40736.60%

Write In
450.08%






  2009 ELECTION
COUNTY/CITY CANDIDATE VOTE VOTE% STATISTICS ALBEMARLE COUNTY
Robert F. "Bob" McDonnell       15,767 50.47%      
R. Creigh Deeds                        15,433 49.40% 

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