Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Fall Elections 2010 - #2235 - Latest Polls - Cook to Dems: Too Little, Too Late -

Democrats have tried building some new spin from polls like the WaPo/ABC travesty dumped yesterday, claiming to have captured momentum and assuring their supporters that the base has finally become energized enough to head off disaster on November 2nd. Veteran political analyst Charlie Cook has heard this all before, and in fact can even tell National Journal readers when — 2006, when Republicans said the exact same thing: While the Cook Political Report has a general policy of not putting unindicted incumbents in categories worse than our “Toss Up” column, which is akin to the critical ward of a hospital, we are now looking at moving a dozen or so Democratic House incumbents into the Lean Republican column (Sen. Blanche Lincoln is already there). Read more.......

Hill Poll shows GOP leading in 11 of 12 races against frosh House Incumbents - Hot Air -The Hill engaged Democratic pollster Mark Penn to take a look at a dozen key House races where incumbents owed their seats to Barack Obama’s 2008 coattails, and not surprisingly, found Republican challengers leading in all but one of them. In most of the cases, the leads were narrow enough that the races are still in play, and in none of them did the challenger get to the magic 50% mark. Republicans have the edge and the momentum, but still have to make the final sale, Penn warns:  Read more.......  They even used our Congressman as their example.

Michael Barone: Gallup's Astonishing numbers and the Lake Superior Congressional Districts- Washington Examiner -Late yesterday, Gallup came out with new numbers on the generic ballot question—which party’s candidates would you vote for in the election for House of Representatives? Among registered voters Gallup shows Republicans ahead by 46%-42%, about as good a score as Republicans have ever had (and about as bad a score as Democrats have ever had) since Gallup started asking the question in 1942. The Gallup high turnout and low turnout numbers suggest it looks like 1894, when Republicans gained more than 100 seats in a House of approximately 350 seats.   Read more.......

Raese now leads Manchin by 6 in Rasmussen Poll - Hot Air - This race was, like Connecticut, supposed to be a safe harbor for Democrats in a very stormy season. Now it looks as though their decision to have Joe Manchin run for the remainder of Robert Byrd’s term in the Senate may have been a waste of effort, and possibly self-defeating. West Virginia voters are moving to Republican John Raese, now outside of the margin of error, in the latest Rasmussen poll, with Raese reaching the 50% mark for the first time:  Read more....,.....

CNN Poll: Reid down to 40% - Hot Air -It’s still a nailbiter: Angle leads by just two thanks to Scott Ashjian and “none of the above” being on the ticket. I can’t believe, though, that Nevadans who go to the polls on election day in a razor-thin race with a chance to bounce the Senate majority leader are going to throw their vote away on a third-party loser or NOTA. They’ll hold their noses and break one way or another. And if yesterday’s Fox poll is any guide, it’s pretty clear whom they’ll be breaking for.  Read more.......

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